Tap The Brakes On Dealing For Halladay

Last week, Toronto Blue Jays GM J.P. Ricciardi admitted to putting some feelers out regarding the possibility of dealing ace starting pitcher Roy Halladay.

Halladay is a career 141-69 and is a bonafied #1 starter. The Blue Jays have let it be known that it will take a massive package of young prospects to pry Halladay away and have sent scouts throughout the majors and minors to gauge exactly what sort of talent is out there for the taking.

Many experts feel as though the Texas Rangers organization are in a position to offer the best package of player possible but there are several factors which prevent me from truly being able to embrace a possible trade.

I understand that the Rangers have played really well this season and find themselves in the thick of the AL West race a year sooner than they'd previously projected. But three seasons ago, Texas set out to build their organization from the ground up, dealing away expensive contracts like Mark Teixeira while stocking their minor league organizations with top-tier prospects. This modus operandi has worked extremely well, as Texas is now ranked as having the very best farm system in all of baseball, spearheaded by the previously mentioned Teixeira trade, a deal which netted them their starting shortstop (Elvis Andrus), starting catcher (Jarrod Saltalamacchia), number five starter (Matt Harrison) and top pitching prospect (Neftali Feliz).

Trading for a player like Halladay, while bold, would effectively cripple the farm system as Texas would surely be forced to deal away quality youth similar to what they added when they traded Teixeira to Atlanta in 2007.



So what would it take to get Roy Halladay? Well, Toronto has said they want young pitching (Neftali Feliz & Kasey Kiker), a power bat (Justin Smoak) and a shortstop (Marcus Lemon) in exchange for their ace.

Feliz just put on a pitching display at the All-Star game when he pitched one inning in the Futures Game, striking out two and averaging almost 97 mph with his fastball.

Kiker is currently pitching for AA Frisco, has shown good command throughout the season and was the starting pitcher in the AA All-Star game, pitching a hitless, scoreless inning.

Justin Smoak was promoted to AAA Oklahoma City last week and appears to be on the fast track to Arlington. He may well be the odds on favorite to be the Rangers starting first baseman as early as next season.

Marcus Lemon was a 4th round pick in the 2006 draft and is a slick-fielding, lightning fast infielder who's already made a successful jump to AA Frisco.

There's also the issue of Roy Halladay having an iron clad no-trade clause and, at least if the rumors are to be believed, would not okay any deal which would ship him to Texas, a place where he is a career 4-3 with a 6.14 ERA in 11 appearances. The Ballpark in Arlington is far and away Halladay's least favorite park in which to pitch, meaning even if they were able to convince him to accept a trade to Texas, it is very unlikely he would even consider signing an extention. Instead, Halladay would likely opt to test free agency after the 2010 season, with Texas getting nothing in return save for a 2010 1st round draft pick from the team that signed him away. Dealing away four (possibly more) top prospects for what would amount to less than a season and a half from Roy Halladay just doesn't add up for me.

Finally, Roy Halladay does nothing for what may well be Texas' biggest issue going into the second half of the season: the offense. The Rangers offense has been very inconsistent for the entire season, one day looking like world beaters only to look lost the next. It appears as though this is simply what they are and if that is the case, no amount of All-Star pitching will make up for all the missed opportunities and silly hitting mistakes this offense seems poised to make over the next 70+ games.

If I'm calling the shots I'm holding my water for now. Hallday is a proven All-Star and would be a welcome addition on any team but mortgaging your future for little more than a rent-a-pitcher (albeit a great one) is simply something Texas cannot afford, especially with Rangers owner Tom Hicks currently wading waist deep in a well-documented financial crisis.

Texas is not and will never be able to spend with teams like the Yankees, Mets and Red Sox, at least not as long as Hicks is the owner. Despite being the 7th largest market in baseball, Texas is currently 22nd in the league in payroll. And while a high payroll doesn't guarantee wins, a low payroll means a team can't afford to make many mistakes and hope to remain viable. The Yankees can afford to trade away their entire minor league for a single player; if things go south they'll just buy more. Texas doesn't have this luxury.

The Rangers have had a great first half of the season and with any luck will find themselves battling it out with the Angels and Mariners in the AL West for the rest of the year. It's simply not the time to be trading away young studs, even if it's for possibly the best pitcher in baseball.

Kiker A Mixed Bag, Frisco Gets Big Win

I made another trip out to Frisco last night to see the RoughRiders finish up a three-game set again the Midland RockHounds.

Frisco sent top prospect Kasey Kiker to the mound and looked both like a world beater and like a guy still in need to seasoning. Kiker started the game in grand fashion, striking out the first five hitters he faced, keeping them off balance with a nice change-up and a fastball that he was able to spot. He was working quickly off the mound, taking very little time in between pitches and keeping the RockHound hitters off balance.

But from out of nowhere, Kiker began to struggle, first by walking RockHounds catcher Josh Donaldson (who went 2 for 2 with 2 walks in the loss) then hitting the next hitter, designated hitter, Corey Brown.

From there Kiker would show moments of greatness but was, for the most part, a mixed bag. Despite striking out seven of the eighteen betters he faced, Kiker also walked three, surrendering three runs (two earned) in 3 2/3 innings (Kiker is on a strict pitch count).



When pitching from the wind-up, Kiker looked like a Major League Pitcher. He worked quickly, had good command of all his pitches, and gave off and air of confidence. But with runners on base and pitching out of the stretch, he didn't retain the same pitch command, began working very slowly and seemed to be overthinking things on the mound.

Texas' top hitting prospect, Justin Smoak was also a bit Jekyll and Hyde, going 1 for 3 with a walk and two run scored but also commited a throwing error which led to a run for the RockHounds.

Second baseman Guilder Rodriguez supplied some fireworks, going 2 for 3 with a walk and an RBI sacrifice fly. He also had the two most exciting plays of the night: one, a triple that he legged out in the 4th and the other, a single that the RockHounds centerfielder misplayed, allowing Rodriguez to hustle to third in the 6th. He scored both times.

Relievers Andrew Laughter, Pedro Strop and Jose Diaz pitched a combined 5 1/3 innings, allowing no runs on three hits while striking out five. Strop and Diaz both hit the upper 90's with their fastballs with Diaz topping out at 98 more than once.

Frisco Rallies Late, Downs Midland In Extra Innings

I made a last minute trip out to the Frisco RoughRiders game last night and was treated to quite an entertaining game.

The RockHounds got it going early, getting a solo homerun out of first baseman Chris Carter. Carter is an imposing figure but post homer, did nothing as he looks to have real trouble with a quality curveball.

Frisco tied it up in the bottom of the third when Marcus Lemon, the son of former Detroit Tiger Chet Lemon, scored on a single by Chad Tracy.

Midland answered in the fifth inning, scoring Michael Affronti via sacrifice fly and Matthew Sulentic thanks to a throwing error by Frisco third baseman John Whittleman. Frisco cut the lead to one in the bottom of the inning on a line drive RBI double in the gap by top prospect Justin Smoak. It's worth nothing that Smoak looks larger than life on the field. The guy just looks like an All-Star in waiting.

Frisco pitcher Michael Ballard was pitching well enough until the sixth inning, when he walked the first two hitters before loading the bases by giving up a single to Corey Brown. Former top prospect Thomas Diamond was brought in from the bullpen, giving up a sacrifice fly. Diamond then uncorked a wild pitch, moving everyone up a base. Matthew Sulentic then singled home the 2nd run of the inning, before being thrown out trying to steal second to end their half of the inning.

Midland added one more in the top of the seventh, thanks in part to another wild pitch by Diamond and a throwing error by catcher Manny Pina. Diamond had good velocity on his pitches, keeping his fastball around 92-94, but had no control and really struggled to get outs.



In the bottom of the seventh, down 6-2, Frisco exploded for four runs, thanks largely to a 2-run double by Chad Tracy.

Reliever Pedro Strop replaced Thomas Diamond in the top of the 8th and looked very good, striking out the side, showing great command of a fastball that topped out at 96 mph on the Riders radar gun.

The ninth and tenth innings were pitched by the very imposing looking Jose Diaz, who shut Midland down and, despite some control issues, struck out three and kept the RocHounds off the board. He too seems to have a very live arm, getting it up to 97 mph on more than one occasion.

The top notch performances by Strop and Diaz set up the offense in the bottom of the tenth when Frisco loaded the bases and Emerson Frostad hit a one-out RBI single past second base, scoring Craig Gentry from third and giving Frisco the 7-6 win.

Scouts Praise Young Rangers

Several notes from Major League Scouts regarding some of Texas' top prospects:

Justin Smoak: “He’s just fun to watch — he certainly looks like he belongs in big-league games, and the team doesn’t miss a beat with him out there. He’s going to be better than (Chris) Davis. He’s going to be an All-Star, no question about it.”



Smoak hit .280/.357/.600 in 25 at-bats this spring.

Taylor Teagarden: “Teagarden is just an unbelievable defender, and he really shuts the running game down. And I think he’s going to hit. He’s narrowed the gap offensively more than Salty, who has gotten better behind the plate defensively. It’s a nice problem to have.”

Teagarden hit .300/.364/.700 this spring, exhibiting command of the pitching staff when working behind the plate.

Elvis Andrus: “He’s been much more consistent with the glove, and the Rangers don’t need much from him offensively. He’ll hit .255-.260 with seven home runs and be fine.”

Andrus showed some real brilliance with the leather, making several gold glove- caliber plays.

Neftali Feliz: “Every bit as good as advertised — he was up to 98 mph when I saw him. If I have to find something not to like, sometimes he’s a little flat through the zone and he needs to learn how to adjust to getting hit and for now, he just tries to throw harder.”

Derek Holland: “I saw him all list year and he just looks more and more polished each time I see him. He topped out at 96 mph for me and his breaking ball was much better.”